Oil prices rose slightly tracking a rebound on Wall Street
Oil prices rose slightly tracking a rebound on Wall Street, though a gloomy demand forecast from IEA limited gains; Morgan Stanley positive on OMCs, says oil has started a negative correlation to the depreciating dollar
Oil prices rose slightly tracking a rebound on Wall Street, though a gloomy demand forecast from the International Energy Agency limited gains. Crude rises above $ 58. Nymex Crude makes low at $ 56.55/bbl. The factors being decline in dollar and strength in equity markets. Decline in crude inventories was seen, which is still up 18% on 5-year average. There is a weak demand and high supply. OPEC compliance to quota at 77% in April, was 82% in March. IEA cut global demand estimate by 3% to 83.32 m barrels/day. Near term range for crude is seen between $ 56-62/bbl.
Research firm Morgan Stanley says that oil has started a negative correlation to the depreciating dollar and that most Asian equities are discounting price range of $ 65-75 a barrel. The brokerage is positive on OMCs like HPCL, BPCL and IOC. For Reliance, Morgan Stanley maintains a price target of Rs 2286 per share. They are however negative on ONGC. They are also equal weight on Cairn India which is most sensitive to price changes.
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